Epidemic dynamics and endemic states in complex networks

Romualdo Pastor-Satorras and Alessandro Vespignani
Phys. Rev. E 63, 066117 – Published 22 May 2001
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Abstract

We study by analytical methods and large scale simulations a dynamical model for the spreading of epidemics in complex networks. In networks with exponentially bounded connectivity we recover the usual epidemic behavior with a threshold defining a critical point below that the infection prevalence is null. On the contrary, on a wide range of scale-free networks we observe the absence of an epidemic threshold and its associated critical behavior. This implies that scale-free networks are prone to the spreading and the persistence of infections whatever spreading rate the epidemic agents might possess. These results can help understanding computer virus epidemics and other spreading phenomena on communication and social networks.

  • Received 1 February 2001

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.63.066117

©2001 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Romualdo Pastor-Satorras1 and Alessandro Vespignani2

  • 1Departmento de Física i Enginyeria Nuclear, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Campus Nord, Mòdul B4, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
  • 2The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), P.O. Box 586, 34100 Trieste, Italy

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Vol. 63, Iss. 6 — June 2001

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