Indication of a Universal Persistence Law Governing Atmospheric Variability

Eva Koscielny-Bunde, Armin Bunde, Shlomo Havlin, H. Eduardo Roman, Yair Goldreich, and Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber
Phys. Rev. Lett. 81, 729 – Published 20 July 1998
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Abstract

We study the temporal correlations in the atmospheric variability by 14 meteorological stations around the globe, the variations of the daily maximum temperatures from their average values. We apply several methods that can systematically overcome possible nonstationarities in the data. We find that the persistence, characterized by the correlation C(s) of temperature variations separated by s days, approximately decays C(s)sγ, with roughly the same exponent γ0.7 for all stations considered. The range of this universal persistence law seems to exceed one decade, and is possibly even larger than the range of the temperature series considered.

  • Received 14 January 1998

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.81.729

©1998 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Eva Koscielny-Bunde1,2, Armin Bunde1, Shlomo Havlin1,2, H. Eduardo Roman1,3, Yair Goldreich4, and Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber5

  • 1Institut für Theoretische Physik III, Universität Giessen, D-35392 Giessen, Germany
  • 2Minerva Center and Department of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, 52900, Israel
  • 3Dipartimento di Fisica and I.N.F.N., Università di Milano, I-20133 Milano, Italy
  • 4Department of Meteorology, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, 52900, Israel
  • 5Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany

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Vol. 81, Iss. 3 — 20 July 1998

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