Bayesian evidence as a tool for comparing datasets

Phil Marshall, Nutan Rajguru, and Anže Slosar
Phys. Rev. D 73, 067302 – Published 17 March 2006

Abstract

We introduce a new conservative test for quantifying the consistency of two or more datasets. The test is based on the Bayesian answer to the question, “How much more probable is it that all my data were generated from the same model system than if each dataset were generated from an independent set of model parameters?” We make explicit the connection between evidence ratios and the differences in peak chi-squared values, the latter of which are more widely used and more cheaply calculated. Calculating evidence ratios for three cosmological datasets [recent cosmic microwave background data (WMAP, ACBAR, CBI, VSA), SDSS galaxy redshift survey, and the most recent SNe type 1A data] we find that concordance is favored and the tightening of constraints on cosmological parameters is indeed justified.

  • Received 9 November 2005

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.73.067302

©2006 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Phil Marshall

  • Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics and Cosmology, P.O. Box 20450, MS29, Stanford, California 94309, USA

Nutan Rajguru

  • Astrophysics Group, Cavendish Laboratory, Madingley Road, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Anže Slosar

  • Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia

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Issue

Vol. 73, Iss. 6 — 15 March 2006

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